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Aerial view of LSHTM Building and Senate house. Credit: LSHTM

THERM-UK

Protecting populations at risk from heat in the UK.

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About

THERM-UK is a four-year inter-disciplinary research project funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) that will quantify the health benefits from reducing heat exposures through public health, housing policy and nature based solutions.

Research

The THERM-UK research programme will develop climate metrics, epidemiological methods and economic modelling to develop decision tools to reduce the impact of heat on vulnerable individuals. 

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About
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We are a research consortium with expertise in health modelling, epidemiology, thermophysiology, economics, weather and climate, ecosystem modelling, and building physics. Our team, based in 'Managing Heat Risks' require a cross-sectoral and interdisciplinary approach.

We work closely with partners key stakeholders in managing heat risks. including the Greater London Authority, House Learning and Improvement Network, and Forest Research.

To ensure that our research is useful and acceptable we have a commitment to public involvement and engagement (PPI/E). We will be working with the PLANET panel, established by the HPRU in Environmental Change and Health. This is a national panel of persons from a range of backgrounds who we meet with regularly to discuss our research.

Who we are
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LSHTM

University of Leeds 

  • , Professor in Meteorology and Climate
  • , Research Fellow

University College London 

  • , Professor of Building Physics and Environment
  • , Professor of Sustainable, Healthy and Equitable Built Environment

Oxford Brookes University

  • , Professor of Sustainable Architecture and Climate Change

University of Exeter

  • , Professor
  • Peter Cook, Researcher

Met Office

  • , Senior Health Research Scientist
  • , Senior Scientist
Research
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Who is most at risk from increasing heat?

We will develop new methods for characterization of key vulnerabilities, high-risk groups and health inequalities for the UK population. We will use routine health data to better understand the impacts of heat on morbidity, health service use and wellbeing. We will develop better models to understand the future impacts of heat on health due to climate change.

Interventions to reduce heat impacts: costs and benefits

We will develop methods and tools to understand the national and local health gains and risks associated with interventions in the housing, including implications for building design/retrofit and regulation. We will produce evidence to protect the wellbeing of older persons and other high risk groups. We will quantify the benefits of nature-based solutions and spatial planning to reduce health burdens.

Estimating health burdens attributable to heat under a range of policies

We will develop a national synthetic population model using high resolution environmental, population and socioeconomic data to quantify health burdens from heat and cold. The model will be used to compare the benefits of different policies for health costs and for inequalities. The model will be extended to promote opportunities for health improvement through climate policies in the transport, housing and planning sectors.